It’s been easy this year to get dejected about how results have been going. Always on the lookout for the proverbial silver lining, I began wondering how ‘history’ suggests we should have been getting on this year. Personally I think it is quite interesting at the very least…although it certainly doesn’t excuse the manner of some results.
I simply looked at the head-to-heads of each of our fixtures thus far (including Cup games), the results are below – interesting to know what you make of them:
Wolves (Away) – Won 2-0
Played: 30
Wolves: 14 (46.67%)
West Ham Utd: 10 (33.33%)
Drawn: 6 (20%)
Spurs (Home) – Lost 2-1
Played: 66
West Ham: 28 (42.42%)
Spurs: 21 (31.82%)
Drawn: 17 (25.76%)
Millwall (Home) – Won 3-1 (AET)
Played: 14
West Ham: 7 (50%)
Millwall: 1 (7.14%)
Drawn: 6 (42.86%)
Blackburn (Away) – Drew 0-0
Played: 51
Blackburn: 29 (56.86%)
West Ham: 13 (25.49%)
Drawn: 9 (17.65%)
Wigan (Away) – Lost 1-0
Played: 8
Wigan: 2 (25%)
West Ham: 5 (62.5%)
Drawn: 1 (12.5%)
Liverpool (Home) – Lost 3-2
Played: 58
West Ham: 20 (34.48%)
Liverpool: 21 (36.21%)
Drawn: 17 (29.31%)
Bolton (Away) – Lost 3-1 (AET)
Played: 30
Bolton: 22 (73.33%)
West Ham: 3 (30%)
Drawn: 5 (16.67%)
Man City (Away) – Lost 3-1
Played: 46
Man City: 29 (63.04%)
West Ham: 11 (23.91%)
Drawn: 6 (13.04%)
Fulham (Home) – Drew 2-2
Played: 41
West Ham: 21 (51.22%)
Fulham: 10 (24.39%)
Drawn: 10 (24.39%)
(stats provided by FootballUnited.com)
Having had a good look at those, of couple of results (and past success rates) particularly stood out – Bolton, Blackburn and Fulham. Look how poor our win percentage is against Bolton (and also against Blackburn) – we should stop going to those places expecting them to be opportunities to pick up points because clearly they’re not. Whereas against Fulham (and I know this is a case of stating the bleeding obvious considering how the game panned out) but we can really view that as points lost.
The summation of those above stats equates to the following averages (don’t read too much into these as we’ve not played enough games for them to be entirely statistically significant, but they’re still interesting!):
In the past against all the teams we’ve played so far this year, we would have…
- Lost 40.49% of the games
- Won 37.03% of the games
- Drawn 22.46% of the games
Which, over 9 games works out as:
- 3.64 losses (rounded to 4)
- 3.33 wins (rounded to 3)
- 2.02 draws (rounded to 2)
If you compare that to what we’ve actually achieved this season L: 5 W:2 D:2, it paints a fairly similar picture. In fact, as stupid as it is to say, had we won one more game than we’d lost we’d actually be in a position that statistically we could have expected
(NB – to be taken with a pinch of salt)
Anyway, make of it all as you will – I enjoyed researching for it at the very least!
IRONS
Sam
[...] This post was mentioned on Twitter by footballutd and anthony wainner. anthony wainner said: Reading: "What should have happened? Some interesting stats | The West Ham Process" (http://twitthis.com/9nh4y7) [...]
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So we’ve ALWAYS been a bit shit then?
Thanks for clarifying!!
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Pleasure – still havn’t forgotten your ad btw, I just have a better place to display it in the pipeline (much better click through rate!)
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No worries mate.
Above facts highlight that we’re consistently inconsistent. Something the more level headed amongst us recognise before jerking our kneecaps!
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Yeah, we’ve been an inconsistent side for many, many years. Some people have just had their expectations raised by tall stories in the press of potential star signings and almost becoming a slightly more well off club before the Icelandics found themselves ruined. So, it’s back to the same old West Ham. Nothing too much to worry about. Got a few good youth players coming through and it’s only a few games in. Plenty of time to move up the table towards a more respectable position.
.-= John WHUMG´s last blog ..West Ham vs Everton. 27th of November 1965. =-.
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[...] outlining the head-to-head history of all the sides we had played till that point in the season (HERE) Although, like I say, you do have to take the results with a pinch of salt, it was interesting to [...]
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